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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,346,500
The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 342 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 341 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 341 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (30, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 18 December 2009 — its closest relative in 341 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 August 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈41M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 7,583 winners, 43% more than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 961,703 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 397,893 | £6.80 |
| Match 3 | 113,445 | £11.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 87,230 | £13.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 74,100 | £18.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 7,583 | £35.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,680 | £70.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,768 | £152 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 215 | £1,872 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £56,346 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £283,647 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2 | £6,173,250 |