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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,592,500
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 337 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 336 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 336 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 35, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 January 2009 — its closest relative in 336 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 July 2010): 46 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 135 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,969 winners, 17% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 925,480 | £7.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 372,827 | £7.40 |
| Match 3 | 88,658 | £14.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 64,460 | £18.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 59,117 | £23.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,147 | £65.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,969 | £97.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,395 | £196 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 80 | £5,127 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £191,395 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £337,220 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,592,500 |