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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£35,767,540
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 336 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 335 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 13 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 335 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (38, 39, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 February 2010 — its closest relative in 335 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 July 2010): 39, 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 217 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39, 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈32M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 945,822 winners, 12% more than the 843k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 945,822 | £7.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 316,227 | £9.90 |
| Match 3 | 86,816 | £16.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 58,220 | £23.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 58,356 | £27.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,993 | £77.80 |
| Match 4 | 2,006 | £109 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,424 | £218 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 77 | £6,058 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £50,234 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 13 | £177,015 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £35,767,540 |