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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£13,072,500
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 328 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 327 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 327 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 19, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 June 2008 — its closest relative in 327 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 May 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 144 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →50 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈45M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,577 winners, 7% fewer than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,162,955 | £5.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 437,444 | £6.40 |
| Match 3 | 115,659 | £11.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 86,699 | £14.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 82,019 | £17.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,975 | £46.70 |
| Match 4 | 2,577 | £75.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,905 | £147 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 142 | £2,952 |
| Match 5 | 15 | £39,120 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £258,472 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £13,072,500 |