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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£84,451,320
The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 327 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 326 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 326 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 17, 31) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 July 2006 — its closest relative in 326 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 May 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 139 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈53M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 5,756 winners, 17% fewer than the 6.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,618,776 | £6.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 520,787 | £8.90 |
| Match 3 | 148,842 | £14.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 93,873 | £21.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 103,596 | £22.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,756 | £79.80 |
| Match 4 | 3,214 | £100 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,268 | £203 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 135 | £5,107 |
| Match 5 | 22 | £43,876 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 14 | £242,957 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £84,451,320 |