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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£13,590,000
The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 307 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 306 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2009 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 306 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (17, 34) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 September 2009 — its closest relative in 306 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 December 2009): 14 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 74 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈57M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,286 winners, 35% fewer than the 3.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,169,900 | £4.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 557,441 | £4.20 |
| Match 3 | 112,040 | £9.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 115,269 | £8.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 87,869 | £13.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 8,675 | £26.90 |
| Match 4 | 2,286 | £71.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,844 | £127 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 200 | £1,752 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £98,134 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £345,807 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £13,590,000 |