In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 2022 rules — 475 draws, 5 from 1–50.
43times drawn · chance expected 48 −0.69σ
15draws waiting · a wait this long: 23% for any number
10.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
46longest completed wait · 31% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 43 times in 475 draws against 47.5 expected, −0.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15
Number 15, draw by draw
Drawn 43 times in 475 draws · average wait 10.9 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 15 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 1 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.