In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 2022 rules — 475 draws, 5 from 1–50.
61times drawn · chance expected 48 +2.06σ
17draws waiting · a wait this long: 19% for any number
7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
32longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 61 times in 475 draws against 47.5 expected, +2.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
11
Number 11, draw by draw
Drawn 61 times in 475 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 17 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 49 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.