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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€10,132,505
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 322 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 321 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 321 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 37, 41) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 June 2019 — its closest relative in 321 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 November 2020): 1 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 935 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 435,004 | €9.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 127,569 | €12.80 |
| Match 3 | 47,616 | €19.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,017 | €28.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,273 | €23.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,567 | €80.70 |
| Match 4 | 935 | €158 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 551 | €344 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | €8,108 |
| Match 5 | 6 | €105,409 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €1,791,956 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €10,132,505 |