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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€28,000,000
The crowdHeld 30% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 201 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 200 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 200 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 17, 23) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 July 2017 — its closest relative in 200 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 62% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 August 2018): 4 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 80 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 952 winners, 39% more than the 687 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 565,204 | €6.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 142,116 | €11.20 |
| Match 3 | 65,820 | €13.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,066 | €22.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 41,635 | €14.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,025 | €60.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,507 | €94.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 952 | €193 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48 | €4,256 |
| Match 5 | 9 | €68,089 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | €578,754 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €28,000,000 |