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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€18,000,000
The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 200 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 199 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 199 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 8, 25) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 February 2018 — its closest relative in 199 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 80 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,434 winners, 113% more than the 673 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 559,530 | €6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 139,206 | €10.90 |
| Match 3 | 71,422 | €11.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,299 | €21.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 45,967 | €12.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,192 | €53.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,098 | €65.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,434 | €123 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 74 | €2,642 |
| Match 5 | 14 | €41,902 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | €332,426 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €18,000,000 |