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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€11,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014draw 120 of 133 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 119 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 119 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 June 2014 — its closest relative in 119 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 June 2014): 11, 42 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (46% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 79 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 20,897 winners, 27% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 233,569 | €7.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 103,258 | €9.30 |
| Match 3 | 24,253 | €11.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 16,867 | €19.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,897 | €13.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,451 | €47.00 |
| Match 4 | 517 | €93.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 413 | €185 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25 | €3,856 |
| Match 5 | 2 | €52,223 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €792,003 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €11,000,000 |