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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€13,000,000
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014draw 121 of 133 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 120 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 120 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 35, 45) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 March 2014 — its closest relative in 120 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 July 2014): 3, 10 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (46% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 15,021 winners, 24% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 218,562 | €8.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 104,047 | €9.30 |
| Match 3 | 20,077 | €14.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 15,021 | €22.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,014 | €14.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,397 | €49.00 |
| Match 4 | 407 | €119 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 298 | €257 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31 | €3,123 |
| Match 5 | 1 | €104,893 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | €201,718 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €13,000,000 |