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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€19,536,864
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014draw 8 of 133 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 7 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 7 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 1 of 5 numbers (38) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 April 2012 — its closest relative in 7 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 May 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (46% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 160 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 9,939 winners, 28% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 152,140 | €9.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 72,228 | €10.50 |
| Match 3 | 13,951 | €16.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 9,939 | €26.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 12,640 | €17.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 829 | €64.80 |
| Match 4 | 304 | €125 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 226 | €266 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23 | €3,298 |
| Match 5 | 1 | €82,164 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €617,557 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | €19,536,864 |