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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€18,000,000
The crowdHeld 27% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014draw 7 of 133 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 6 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 13 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 41, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 April 2012 — its closest relative in 6 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 2.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 April 2012): 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3, 5 repeated (46% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 180 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 2 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 8,492 winners, 46% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 139,493 | €9.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 83,258 | €9.40 |
| Match 3 | 10,478 | €17.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 8,492 | €29.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 13,307 | €17.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 776 | €66.00 |
| Match 4 | 179 | €202 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 141 | €406 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 12 | €6,031 |
| Match 5 | 1 | €157,233 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €18,000,000 |