In Western Max under the 7/50 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 7 from 1–50.
27times drawn · chance expected 20 +1.60σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 55% for any number
5.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.1
16longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 27 times in 145 draws against 20.3 expected, +1.60σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 27 times in 145 draws · average wait 5.1 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.