Number 15

In Western Max under the 7/50 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 7 from 1–50.

15times drawn · chance expected 20 −1.27σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 74% for any number

10.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.1

21longest completed wait · 50% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 145 draws against 20.3 expected, −1.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 145 draws · average wait 10.0 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 1.7
2nd smallest4 · chance 4.9
3rd smallest6 · chance 5.1
4th smallest2 · chance 2.6
5th smallest1 · chance 0.6
6th smallest0 · chance 0.1
7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 5 42 3 12 14

Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-29	11	3rd	6 12 15 29 34 36 48
2026-08-21	10	1st	15 16 17 21 29 35 48
2026-07-17	10	2nd	5 15 17 31 36 42

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.