Number 4

In Western Max under the 7/50 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 7 from 1–50.

16times drawn · chance expected 20 −1.03σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 86% for any number

9.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.1

27longest completed wait · 26% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 16 times in 145 draws against 20.3 expected, −1.03σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 16 times in 145 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest13 · chance 10.7
2nd smallest3 · chance 4.7
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.6
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0
7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 38 47 13 25 27

Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-02	9	1st	4 7 8 16 18 23 41
2026-09-01	4	1st	4 10 11 14 18 25 32
2026-08-18	8	1st	4 12 16 17 22 40

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.