Number 4

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 92 draws, 6 from 1–49.

11times drawn · chance expected 11 −0.08σ

16draws waiting · a wait this long: 14% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

14longest completed wait · 87% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 92 draws against 11.3 expected, −0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 92 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 14 · waiting 16 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 7.8
2nd smallest7 · chance 2.9
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.3
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

28 1 3 8 22 37

Never drawn alongside 16 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-15	3	2nd	3 4 27 28 30 37
2026-08-05	7	2nd	1 4 8 26 28 29
2026-07-11	4	1st	4 8 12 28 37 49
2026-06-27	12	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.