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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 92 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 8 times in 92 draws against 11.3 expected, −1.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 8 times in 92 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 16 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 19 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-05-02 | 3 | 1st | 3419223848 |
| 2026-04-22 | 15 | 1st | 31128324048 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 1st | 34891843 |
| 2026-02-14 | — | 1st | 3722284448 |