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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 92 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 12 times in 92 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.23σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 12 times in 92 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-07-04 | 16 | 1st | 171827323644 |
| 2026-05-09 | 8 | 2nd | 151719212635 |
| 2026-04-11 | 8 | 3rd | 81417333748 |
| 2026-03-14 | 1 | 1st | 172225262833 |
| 2026-03-11 | 17 | 1st | 173033354244 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2 | 4th | 41314172235 |
| 2026-01-03 | 3 | 3rd | 2617193637 |
| 2025-12-24 | — | 2nd | 11722294142 |