Number 21

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 92 draws, 6 from 1–49.

9times drawn · chance expected 11 −0.72σ

23draws waiting · a wait this long: 6% for any number

8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

26longest completed wait · 27% chance of one at least that long

21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 92 draws against 11.3 expected, −0.72σ. Each draw is independent: after 23 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 0 times, counted separately.

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 92 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 23 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.5
2nd smallest2 · chance 2.2
3rd smallest3 · chance 3.3
4th smallest2 · chance 2.3
5th smallest2 · chance 0.7
6th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 19 6 12 15 18

Never drawn alongside 20 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-07-22	20	2nd	19 21 22 24 27 29
2026-05-13	1	3rd	7 18 21 26 37 48
2026-05-09	1	4th	15 17 19 21 26 35
2026-05-06	2	4th

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.