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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 May 2015

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 45
  7. 26
  8. 34

JackpotA$4,086,990

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 334 of 930 under them

← 2015-05-16All recent draws2015-05-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 31 38 39 45 + 26 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

160times
239times
3144times
3846times
39

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-23

  • Lines in play≈ 34Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.6Mto 388k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 87lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 4.1

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.1M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.9M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 4.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

40times
4541times

Every number was expected about that many times after 333 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 38, 39) with the draw of 6 December 2014 — its closest relative in 333 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 May 2015): 45 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 38–39. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,021,748
  • 3808≈ 964 by chanceA$1,480
  • 441,136≈ 46k by chanceA$43.95
  • 242A$13,197
  • 5108,223A$28.05
  • 6237,375A$16.45
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈34M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 808 winners, 16% fewer than the 964 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$1,021,748
    242A$13,197
    3808A$1,480
    441,136A$43.95
    5108,223A$28.05
    6237,375A$16.45