In Oz Lotto under the 7/47 + 3/47 · since May 2022 rules — 230 draws, 7 from 1–47.
28times drawn · chance expected 34 −1.16σ
9draws waiting · a wait this long: 28% for any number
8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
34longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long
46 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 28 times in 230 draws against 34.3 expected, −1.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 18 times, counted separately.
46
Number 46, draw by draw
Drawn 28 times in 230 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 9 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 46 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 46 numbers; chance expects about 1 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 46 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 46 is drawn with probability 7/47 tonight whatever it did last week.