In Oz Lotto under the 7/47 + 3/47 · since May 2022 rules — 230 draws, 7 from 1–47.
31times drawn · chance expected 34 −0.60σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
27longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 31 times in 230 draws against 34.3 expected, −0.60σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 23 times, counted separately.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 31 times in 230 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 27 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.8 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 7/47 tonight whatever it did last week.