Lotto: Chance Detective — which machine would you investigate? — LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle · F-43

Chance Detective

Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?

Main drum: 7 of 40. Bonus balls are excluded.

2026-10-13 · UTC400 DrawsSimulated evidence

Every machine here is simulated. No real lottery is being accused or predicted.

Machine A

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	46	70
2	75	70
3	62	70
4	69	70
5	66	70
6	73	70
7	75	70
8	81	70
9	73	70
10	71	70
11	67	70
12	81	70
13	55	70
14	70	70
15	76	70
16	75	70
17	77	70
18	81	70
19	62	70
20	71	70
21	57	70
22	67	70
23	72	70
24	72	70
25	68	70
26	67	70
27	65	70
28	69	70
29	82	70
30	73	70
31	75	70
32	68	70
33	60	70
34	80	70
35	71	70
36	59	70
37	78	70
38	80	70
39	62	70
40	69	70

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine B

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	76	70
2	83	70
3	60	70
4	75	70
5	66	70
6	62	70
7	67	70
8	72	70
9	73	70
10	80	70
11	68	70
12	87	70
13	67	70
14	78	70
15	62	70
16	73	70
17	68	70
18	65	70
19	61	70
20	60	70
21	65	70
22	81	70
23	79	70
24	67	70
25	72	70
26	80	70
27	86	70
28	56	70
29	61	70
30	73	70
31	67	70
32	62	70
33	64	70
34	74	70
35	74	70
36	73	70
37	75	70
38	74	70
39	46	70
40	68	70

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine C

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	22	70
2	27	70
3	24	70
4	263	70
5	17	70
6	251	70
7	21	70
8	29	70
9	22	70
10	22	70
11	28	70
12	25	70
13	24	70
14	246	70
15	18	70
16	260	70
17	20	70
18	33	70
19	21	70
20	21	70
21	25	70
22	25	70
23	24	70
24	273	70
25	17	70
26	264	70
27	28	70
28	21	70
29	16	70
30	23	70
31	25	70
32	23	70
33	16	70
34	258	70
35	24	70
36	256	70
37	24	70
38	20	70
39	23	70
40	21	70

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Make a judgment for all three machines before the reveal.

199 independent fair histories; 3 comparisons. · chance-detective-v1 · seed 3101064737

The maths, in plain language

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