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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
LotteryOracle · F-43
Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?
Main drum: 5 of 69. Bonus balls are excluded.
Every machine here is simulated. No real lottery is being accused or predicted.
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 35 |
| 2 | 33 | 35 |
| 3 | 26 | 35 |
| 4 | 37 | 35 |
| 5 | 25 | 35 |
| 6 | 36 | 35 |
| 7 | 30 | 35 |
| 8 | 38 | 35 |
| 9 | 37 | 35 |
| 10 | 43 | 35 |
| 11 | 35 | 35 |
| 12 | 52 | 35 |
| 13 | 40 | 35 |
| 14 | 44 | 35 |
| 15 | 45 | 35 |
| 16 | 34 | 35 |
| 17 | 46 | 35 |
| 18 | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | 41 | 35 |
| 20 | 34 | 35 |
| 21 | 33 | 35 |
| 22 | 35 | 35 |
| 23 | 33 | 35 |
| 24 | 42 | 35 |
| 25 | 41 | 35 |
| 26 | 24 | 35 |
| 27 | 47 | 35 |
| 28 | 36 | 35 |
| 29 | 27 | 35 |
| 30 | 36 | 35 |
| 31 | 33 | 35 |
| 32 | 37 | 35 |
| 33 | 35 | 35 |
| 34 | 38 | 35 |
| 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 36 | 29 | 35 |
| 37 | 45 | 35 |
| 38 | 41 | 35 |
| 39 | 35 | 35 |
| 40 | 39 | 35 |
| 41 | 35 | 35 |
| 42 | 35 | 35 |
| 43 | 37 | 35 |
| 44 | 35 | 35 |
| 45 | 34 | 35 |
| 46 | 34 | 35 |
| 47 | 33 | 35 |
| 48 | 33 | 35 |
| 49 | 32 | 35 |
| 50 | 26 | 35 |
| 51 | 35 | 35 |
| 52 | 38 | 35 |
| 53 | 37 | 35 |
| 54 | 34 | 35 |
| 55 | 28 | 35 |
| 56 | 27 | 35 |
| 57 | 34 | 35 |
| 58 | 26 | 35 |
| 59 | 37 | 35 |
| 60 | 26 | 35 |
| 61 | 25 | 35 |
| 62 | 39 | 35 |
| 63 | 36 | 35 |
| 64 | 29 | 35 |
| 65 | 42 | 35 |
| 66 | 35 | 35 |
| 67 | 27 | 35 |
| 68 | 36 | 35 |
| 69 | 31 | 35 |
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 35 |
| 2 | 24 | 35 |
| 3 | 33 | 35 |
| 4 | 31 | 35 |
| 5 | 40 | 35 |
| 6 | 40 | 35 |
| 7 | 29 | 35 |
| 8 | 36 | 35 |
| 9 | 35 | 35 |
| 10 | 37 | 35 |
| 11 | 37 | 35 |
| 12 | 38 | 35 |
| 13 | 44 | 35 |
| 14 | 34 | 35 |
| 15 | 32 | 35 |
| 16 | 32 | 35 |
| 17 | 37 | 35 |
| 18 | 28 | 35 |
| 19 | 42 | 35 |
| 20 | 54 | 35 |
| 21 | 30 | 35 |
| 22 | 34 | 35 |
| 23 | 37 | 35 |
| 24 | 34 | 35 |
| 25 | 23 | 35 |
| 26 | 34 | 35 |
| 27 | 29 | 35 |
| 28 | 34 | 35 |
| 29 | 38 | 35 |
| 30 | 39 | 35 |
| 31 | 33 | 35 |
| 32 | 31 | 35 |
| 33 | 30 | 35 |
| 34 | 29 | 35 |
| 35 | 37 | 35 |
| 36 | 29 | 35 |
| 37 | 29 | 35 |
| 38 | 35 | 35 |
| 39 | 39 | 35 |
| 40 | 43 | 35 |
| 41 | 33 | 35 |
| 42 | 39 | 35 |
| 43 | 34 | 35 |
| 44 | 21 | 35 |
| 45 | 26 | 35 |
| 46 | 33 | 35 |
| 47 | 32 | 35 |
| 48 | 45 | 35 |
| 49 | 35 | 35 |
| 50 | 46 | 35 |
| 51 | 39 | 35 |
| 52 | 36 | 35 |
| 53 | 37 | 35 |
| 54 | 46 | 35 |
| 55 | 41 | 35 |
| 56 | 33 | 35 |
| 57 | 27 | 35 |
| 58 | 46 | 35 |
| 59 | 30 | 35 |
| 60 | 31 | 35 |
| 61 | 41 | 35 |
| 62 | 30 | 35 |
| 63 | 43 | 35 |
| 64 | 33 | 35 |
| 65 | 27 | 35 |
| 66 | 46 | 35 |
| 67 | 36 | 35 |
| 68 | 34 | 35 |
| 69 | 38 | 35 |
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | 9 | 35 |
| 3 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | 159 | 35 |
| 5 | 12 | 35 |
| 6 | 141 | 35 |
| 7 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | 8 | 35 |
| 9 | 9 | 35 |
| 10 | 6 | 35 |
| 11 | 10 | 35 |
| 12 | 12 | 35 |
| 13 | 6 | 35 |
| 14 | 131 | 35 |
| 15 | 9 | 35 |
| 16 | 132 | 35 |
| 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 18 | 9 | 35 |
| 19 | 12 | 35 |
| 20 | 9 | 35 |
| 21 | 13 | 35 |
| 22 | 11 | 35 |
| 23 | 8 | 35 |
| 24 | 153 | 35 |
| 25 | 11 | 35 |
| 26 | 132 | 35 |
| 27 | 7 | 35 |
| 28 | 10 | 35 |
| 29 | 6 | 35 |
| 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 31 | 9 | 35 |
| 32 | 9 | 35 |
| 33 | 5 | 35 |
| 34 | 138 | 35 |
| 35 | 13 | 35 |
| 36 | 137 | 35 |
| 37 | 11 | 35 |
| 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 39 | 6 | 35 |
| 40 | 6 | 35 |
| 41 | 8 | 35 |
| 42 | 8 | 35 |
| 43 | 10 | 35 |
| 44 | 118 | 35 |
| 45 | 11 | 35 |
| 46 | 127 | 35 |
| 47 | 6 | 35 |
| 48 | 12 | 35 |
| 49 | 11 | 35 |
| 50 | 9 | 35 |
| 51 | 9 | 35 |
| 52 | 7 | 35 |
| 53 | 8 | 35 |
| 54 | 126 | 35 |
| 55 | 4 | 35 |
| 56 | 144 | 35 |
| 57 | 3 | 35 |
| 58 | 11 | 35 |
| 59 | 11 | 35 |
| 60 | 11 | 35 |
| 61 | 8 | 35 |
| 62 | 10 | 35 |
| 63 | 11 | 35 |
| 64 | 147 | 35 |
| 65 | 7 | 35 |
| 66 | 143 | 35 |
| 67 | 6 | 35 |
| 68 | 10 | 35 |
| 69 | 13 | 35 |
Make a judgment for all three machines before the reveal.
199 independent fair histories; 3 comparisons. · chance-detective-v1 · seed 2439255445
One fixed frequency statistic is tested per machine. Independent fair histories use the same sample size and draw format. Add-one Monte Carlo p-values are corrected across all three machines with Bonferroni. The sample is fixed before testing; a non-alert is not a certificate of fairness.
E = Dk/N; Q = Σ(O − E)²/E; p = (1 + #{Qnull ≥ Q})/(R + 1); padj = min(1, 3p)
Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?
Knowing the generator and detecting it from a short record are different things. A quiet test cannot certify fairness.