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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 46,853,001
The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 655 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 654 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 26, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 December 2021 — its closest relative in 654 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2024): 29 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 82 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 21,870 winners, 24% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 46,853,001 |
| 5 | 5 | ZAR 43,281 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 22 | ZAR 6,159 |
| 4 | 554 | ZAR 414 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,036 | ZAR 250 |
| 3 | 21,870 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 14,504 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 73,906 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 114,524 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 226,421 | — |