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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 20 September 2022

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 13
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 45
  5. 47
  6. 17

JackpotZAR 8,843,780

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 442 of 1,712 under them

← 2022-09-16All recent draws2022-09-23 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 17
    2. 25
    3. 26
    4. 38
    5. 47
    6. 3

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 16 23 45 4729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community13 16 23 45 47 + 1728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

1354times
1643times
2332times
4544times
4739times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

1720times

Every number was expected about that many times after 441 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 16, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 January 2021 — its closest relative in 441 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 September 2022): 16 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 17 repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-20

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.4Mto 163k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 360.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 798.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 864.9K
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chanceZAR 8,843,780
  2. Match 52≈ 1.3 by chanceZAR 150,270
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 16 by chanceZAR 11,071
  4. Match 4258≈ 303 by chanceZAR 1,237
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball666≈ 701 by chanceZAR 542
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,960≈ 10k by chanceZAR 22.60
  7. Match 312,869≈ 13k by chanceZAR 23.40
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,237≈ 53k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball86,486≈ 86k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 666 winners, 5% fewer than the 701 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball86,486ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,237ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,960ZAR 22.60
Match 312,869ZAR 23.40
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball666ZAR 542
Match 4258ZAR 1,237
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17ZAR 11,071
Match 52ZAR 150,270
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 8,843,780