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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 30,215,417
The crowdHeld 2% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 442 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 441 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 38, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 June 2021 — its closest relative in 441 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 153 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 604 winners, 6% fewer than the 646 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 30,215,417 |
| 5 | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 15 | ZAR 14,853 |
| 4 | 273 | ZAR 532 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 604 | ZAR 272 |
| 3 | 12,542 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 8,917 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 47,265 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 79,684 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 149,300 | — |