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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 2,996,866
The crowdHeld 41% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 424 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 423 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 19, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 February 2021 — its closest relative in 423 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 86 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 55 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 25,219 winners, 41% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 2,996,866 |
| 5 | 3 | ZAR 73,301 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 27 | ZAR 5,100 |
| 4 | 595 | ZAR 392 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,216 | ZAR 217 |
| 3 | 25,219 | ZAR 8.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 15,739 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 75,604 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 116,474 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 234,877 | — |