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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 13,909,149
The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 423 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 422 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 16, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 August 2018 — its closest relative in 422 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 July 2022): 31 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 150 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 46–47. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 417 winners, 29% fewer than the 591 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 1 | ZAR 13,909,149 |
| 5 | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 16 | ZAR 24,521 |
| 4 | 417 | ZAR 614 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,089 | ZAR 265 |
| 3 | 20,133 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 17,522 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 96,961 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 168,773 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 304,912 | — |