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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 38,022,529
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 385 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 384 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 February 2022 — its closest relative in 384 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 March 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 154 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,335 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 181,312 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 108,504 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 20,016 | ZAR 21.90 |
| Match 3 | 26,078 | ZAR 22.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,335 | ZAR 526 |
| Match 4 | 642 | ZAR 967 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 42 | ZAR 8,715 |
| Match 5 | 4 | ZAR 146,138 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 38,022,529 |