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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 62,616,378
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 238 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 237 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (7, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 September 2020 — its closest relative in 237 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 21,307 winners, 12% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 62,616,378 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 225,799 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 28 | ZAR 5,049 |
| 4 | 463 | ZAR 517 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,039 | ZAR 260 |
| 3 | 21,307 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 14,729 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 77,761 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 123,863 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 239,191 | — |