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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 45,000,000
The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 172 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 171 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 3, 10) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 May 2019 — its closest relative in 171 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 February 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 57 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 9–10. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 1,046 winners, 23% more than the 851 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 45,000,000 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 87,043 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 18 | ZAR 6,056 |
| 4 | 474 | ZAR 389 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,046 | ZAR 199 |
| 3 | 19,500 | ZAR 8.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 13,551 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 66,008 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 105,073 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 205,672 | — |