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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 42,014,308
The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 171 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 170 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 18, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 May 2019 — its closest relative in 170 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 February 2020): 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 17 repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 16,613 winners, 32% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 42,014,308 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 157,153 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 16 | ZAR 6,150 |
| 4 | 359 | ZAR 464 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 716 | ZAR 263 |
| 3 | 16,613 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 10,676 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 53,758 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 81,480 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 163,619 | — |