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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 11,936,500
The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 716 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 715 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 715 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 25, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 July 2015 — its closest relative in 715 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 653 winners, 27% more than the 515 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 89,197 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 64,807 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 14,298 | ZAR 22.40 |
| Match 3 | 24,677 | ZAR 19.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,210 | ZAR 468 |
| Match 4 | 653 | ZAR 905 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 21 | ZAR 14,822 |
| Match 5 | 4 | ZAR 153,893 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 11,936,500 |