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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 27 September 2016

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 11
  3. 34
  4. 37
  5. 45
  6. 15

JackpotZAR 8,494,232

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 715 of 1,161 under them

← 2016-09-23All recent draws2016-09-30 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 1
    2. 3
    3. 5
    4. 31
    5. 34
    6. 12

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 11 34 37 4529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 11 34 37 45 + 1528 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 714 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

370times
1184times
3484times
3789times
4582times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each

1534times

Every number was expected about that many times after 714 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 11, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 September 2016 — its closest relative in 714 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2016): 3, 11, 37 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-27

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4Mto 159k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%ZAR 772.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%ZAR 791.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%ZAR 760.5K
  • 4 other tiers41%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chanceZAR 8,494,232
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 23 by chanceZAR 64,407
  3. Match 4396≈ 439 by chanceZAR 1,244
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball801≈ 901 by chanceZAR 590
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,740≈ 11k by chanceZAR 24.80
  6. Match 318,485≈ 17k by chanceZAR 21.60
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,780≈ 53k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball76,045≈ 76k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 801 winners, 11% fewer than the 901 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball76,045ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,780ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,740ZAR 24.80
Match 318,485ZAR 21.60
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball801ZAR 590
Match 4396ZAR 1,244
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12ZAR 64,407
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 8,494,232