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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 6 July 2012

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 17

JackpotZAR 5,031,967

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 279 of 1,161 under them

← 2012-07-03All recent draws2012-07-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 12 34 3629 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 10 12 34 36 + 1728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 278 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

325times
1035times
1238times
3428times
3637times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

1716times

Every number was expected about that many times after 278 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 36) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 June 2012 — its closest relative in 278 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-07-06

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.5Mto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 820.8K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 576.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 761.1K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chanceZAR 5,031,967
  2. Match 54≈ 2.6 by chanceZAR 205,210
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15≈ 28 by chanceZAR 38,424
  4. Match 4486≈ 527 by chanceZAR 451
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,016≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 442
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,129≈ 14k by chanceZAR 20.00
  7. Match 323,151≈ 21k by chanceZAR 18.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball63,422≈ 63k by chanceZAR 12.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 23,151 winners, 13% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball63,422ZAR 12.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,129ZAR 20.00
Match 323,151ZAR 18.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,016ZAR 442
Match 4486ZAR 451
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15ZAR 38,424
Match 54ZAR 205,210
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 5,031,967