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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 2,441,361
The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 278 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 277 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 277 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 37, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 August 2011 — its closest relative in 277 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 June 2012): 19 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 149 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38, 38–39. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 488 winners, 23% fewer than the 634 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | — |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 76,276 | ZAR 9.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 15,048 | ZAR 17.00 |
| Match 3 | 19,372 | ZAR 20.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,083 | ZAR 391 |
| Match 4 | 488 | ZAR 423 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 36 | ZAR 15,088 |
| Match 5 | 1 | ZAR 773,552 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 2,441,361 |