Number 4

In Lotto under the 6/58 + 1/56 · since Sep 2025 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–58.

14times drawn · chance expected 11 +0.93σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 80% for any number

7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.7

18longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 14 times in 107 draws against 11.1 expected, +0.93σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 14 times in 107 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest10 · chance 10.6
2nd smallest4 · chance 3.2
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.2
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 7 13 15 22 24

Never drawn alongside 17 of the other 57 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 58. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-30	7	2nd	3 4 6 7 12 46
2026-09-05	11	2nd	3 4 7 31 42 46
2026-07-29	2	1st	4 15 22 24 41 52
2026-07-22	11	2nd	2 4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/58 tonight whatever it did last week.