Number 10

In Lotto under the 6/58 + 1/56 · since Sep 2025 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–58.

15times drawn · chance expected 11 +1.25σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

6.9average wait between appearances · chance says 9.7

19longest completed wait · 88% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 107 draws against 11.1 expected, +1.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 107 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 19 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 6.1
2nd smallest10 · chance 6.3
3rd smallest2 · chance 2.2
4th smallest0 · chance 0.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 23 37 2 22 43

Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 57 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 58. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	1	2nd	5 10 14 29 30 45
2026-10-07	13	2nd	9 10 16 23 29 33
2026-08-22	1	2nd	5 10 12 14 23 41
2026-08-19	3	1st	10 19

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/58 tonight whatever it did last week.