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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 2
plus 2Lotto
JackpotZAR 6,101,882
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 438 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 437 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 437 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 11, 28, 40) with the draw of 22 July 2020 — its closest relative in 437 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 29% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 October 2021): 11 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 163 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 2,709 winners, 19% more than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | ZAR 6,101,882 |
| 5 + Bonus | 4 | ZAR 33,949 |
| 5 | 22 | ZAR 4,115 |
| 4 + Bonus | 94 | ZAR 1,195 |
| 4 | 1,700 | ZAR 132 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,709 | ZAR 82.00 |
| 3 | 32,637 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 28,050 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 65,217 | — |