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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 15,686,101
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 439 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 438 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 438 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 41, 44) with the draw of 4 January 2020 — its closest relative in 438 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 October 2021): 35 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 185 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13, 40–41. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 77% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + Bonus — 28,261 winners, 7% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 15,686,101 |
| 5 + Bonus | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 | 30 | ZAR 8,280 |
| 4 + Bonus | 74 | ZAR 2,664 |
| 4 | 1,727 | ZAR 191 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,395 | ZAR 120 |
| 3 | 35,179 | ZAR 50.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 28,261 | ZAR 20.00 |
| - | 67,666 | — |