Number 4

In Bank a Million under the 6/40 + 1/40 · since Sep 2015 rules — 1,160 draws, 6 from 1–40.

183times drawn · chance expected 174 +0.74σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 27% for any number

6.3average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

37longest completed wait · 41% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 183 times in 1,160 draws against 174.0 expected, +0.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 15 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 183 times in 1,160 draws · average wait 6.3 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest134 · chance 119.8
2nd smallest42 · chance 56.2
3rd smallest7 · chance 6.8
4th smallest0 · chance 0.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 21 22 23 10 18

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-09	19	1st	4 7 17 19 20 21
2026-07-04	19	1st	4 10 15 21 22 30
2026-04-29	4	1st	4 6 18 27 33 35
2026-04-15	13	1st	4 10 19 22 32 36
2026-02-28	1	3rd	2 3 4 5 8 35
2026-02-25	9	1st	4 8 17 18 38 40
2026-01-24	1	1st	4 12 24 30 32 39
2026-01-21	8	1st	4 5 6 15 28 37
2025-12-24	12	1st	4 9 11 13 17 30
2025-11-12	15	1st	4 8 10 21 28 30
2025-09-20	1	2nd	3 4 7 8 13 20
2025-09-17	7	2nd	3 4 10 19 29 36
2025-08-23	4	2nd	2 4 14 20 23 32
2025-08-09	10	1st	4 15 21 23 26 32
2025-07-05	4	1st	4 12 21 27 31 36
2025-06-21	17	2nd	1 4 5 21 33 34
2025-04-23	19	3rd	1 2 4 8 9 10
2025-02-15	9	1st	4 12 14 19 31 37
2025-01-15	1	1st	4 10 13 28 34 35
2025-01-11	13	2nd	3 4 11 16 36 38
2024-11-27	4	1st	4 10 12 16 29 34
2024-11-13	9	1st	4 5 7 10 15 29
2024-10-12	3	3rd	2 3 4 6 8 10
2024-10-02	8	1st	4 11 13 30 38 40

The other 159 appearances

2024-09-04	4	1st	4 11 15 23 33 37
2024-08-21	8	1st	4 5 6 20 36 38
2024-07-24	5	1st	4 14 16 22 28 40
2024-07-06	8	1st	4 13 17 23 24 40
2024-06-08	3	1st	4 6 19 21 22 35
2024-05-29	1	1st	4 6 12 27 31 34
2024-05-25	6	2nd	2 4 5 12 14 31
2024-05-04	4	2nd	2 4 23 26 31 38
2024-04-20	9	1st	4 11 22 25 27 31
2024-03-20	3	1st	4 8 29 32 34 37
2024-03-09	2	2nd	3 4 17 18 22 23
2024-03-02	8	1st	4 8 12 13 22 39
2024-02-03	8	1st	4 9 10 12 19 24
2024-01-06	3	1st	4 13 16 27 37 40
2023-12-27	9	1st	4 10 20 21 29 34
2023-11-25	18	2nd	1 4 13 14 18 27
2023-09-23	6	1st	4 23 28 30 32 37
2023-09-02	21	2nd	1 4 6 15 18 25
2023-06-21	20	2nd	2 4 6 13 19 27
2023-04-12	1	1st	4 17 19 20 23 36
2023-04-08	26	1st	4 14 15 24 28 35
2023-01-07	3	2nd	3 4 7 15 28 38
2022-12-28	6	1st	4 5 20 24 25 32
2022-12-07	5	1st	4 5 14 21 31 37
2022-11-19	1	1st	4 10 24 31 32 33
2022-11-16	12	1st	4 12 14 16 19 30
2022-10-05	6	2nd	3 4 5 21 29 33
2022-09-14	3	1st	4 17 25 28 30 32
2022-09-03	8	1st	4 5 10 17 21 23
2022-08-06	2	2nd	2 4 16 22 26 40
2022-07-30	3	1st	4 16 23 27 33 35
2022-07-20	4	1st	4 14 20 23 28 31
2022-07-06	2	1st	4 19 27 30 33 34
2022-06-29	1	1st	4 17 22 30 31 40
2022-06-25	6	1st	4 8 9 16 17 28
2022-06-04	8	1st	4 5 6 7 29 30
2022-05-07	3	1st	4 5 14 15 22 29
2022-04-27	6	2nd	3 4 9 13 27 31
2022-04-06	19	2nd	2 4 21 23 28 32
2022-01-29	5	1st	4 6 15 18 19 32
2022-01-12	3	1st	4 10 12 19 23 24
2022-01-01	1	1st	4 7 15 19 32 40
2021-12-29	2	1st	4 11 14 21 24 33
2021-12-22	7	1st	4 8 21 25 32 35
2021-11-27	4	1st	4 5 17 26 27 32
2021-11-13	3	1st	4 7 16 29 34 37
2021-11-03	10	2nd	2 4 15 16 21 36
2021-09-29	3	1st	4 18 20 23 33 40
2021-09-18	1	1st	4 6 11 21 35 37
2021-09-15	3	1st	4 24 26 27 30 31
2021-09-04	1	2nd	1 4 13 20 21 36
2021-09-01	1	1st	4 12 14 17 27 32
2021-08-28	1	3rd	2 3 4 21 26 34
2021-08-25	4	1st	4 13 17 22 38 39
2021-08-11	8	1st	4 12 17 23 29 33
2021-07-14	1	1st	4 23 29 34 39 40
2021-07-10	4	2nd	1 4 11 15 18 39
2021-06-26	15	1st	4 7 12 18 20 30
2021-05-05	16	1st	4 11 16 31 32 38
2021-03-10	4	1st	4 9 20 22 25 39
2021-02-24	2	1st	4 9 13 20 31 38
2021-02-17	3	1st	4 11 20 25 32 40
2021-02-06	1	1st	4 5 17 32 36 40
2021-02-03	3	1st	4 18 19 22 23 24
2021-01-23	4	1st	4 18 19 24 27 36
2021-01-09	14	1st	4 7 9 12 13 14
2020-11-21	5	2nd	2 4 8 12 21 22
2020-11-04	2	1st	4 6 8 16 24 38
2020-10-28	3	2nd	3 4 5 15 16 24
2020-10-17	3	1st	4 25 30 32 33 34
2020-10-07	8	1st	4 18 23 26 38 40
2020-09-09	20	2nd	2 4 17 20 26 40
2020-07-01	1	1st	4 22 26 28 29 39
2020-06-27	2	2nd	3 4 5 11 31 33
2020-06-20	3	1st	4 17 30 32 36 39
2020-06-10	2	1st	4 18 19 26 30 38
2020-06-03	2	1st	4 17 18 28 29 38
2020-05-27	8	1st	4 6 8 9 15 40
2020-04-29	4	1st	4 6 20 26 32 39
2020-04-15	3	2nd	1 4 6 8 23 27
2020-04-04	10	2nd	3 4 7 18 20 39
2020-02-29	3	1st	4 9 10 21 36 39
2020-02-19	4	1st	4 8 10 19 32 37
2020-02-05	15	1st	4 19 22 24 27 30
2019-12-14	3	1st	4 7 13 22 26 36
2019-12-04	16	3rd	1 3 4 8 18 34
2019-10-09	3	2nd	1 4 5 17 21 39
2019-09-28	6	1st	4 15 18 28 34 39
2019-09-07	4	1st	4 15 25 29 36 40
2019-08-24	1	1st	4 11 19 23 30 31
2019-08-21	9	2nd	2 4 7 18 33 35
2019-07-20	1	3rd	1 2 4 9 14 40
2019-07-17	4	1st	4 10 26 31 36 39
2019-07-03	2	1st	4 18 22 26 32 39
2019-06-26	1	1st	4 7 12 17 19 39
2019-06-22	13	1st	4 7 22 24 36 39
2019-05-08	3	1st	4 10 13 28 36 39
2019-04-27	1	1st	4 7 11 13 23 34
2019-04-24	4	1st	4 10 13 18 25 28
2019-04-10	7	1st	4 5 11 28 33 34
2019-03-16	1	1st	4 22 27 33 34 37
2019-03-13	1	1st	4 20 21 30 32 40
2019-03-09	26	2nd	1 4 20 25 34 38
2018-12-08	1	1st	4 10 11 12 24 32
2018-12-05	1	1st	4 9 20 26 29 34
2018-12-01	2	1st	4 11 13 14 38 40
2018-11-24	25	1st	4 7 10 33 36 38
2018-08-29	1	1st	4 8 14 19 21 39
2018-08-25	6	1st	4 17 21 23 28 37
2018-08-04	7	2nd	2 4 5 9 34 38
2018-07-11	2	2nd	3 4 15 19 27 29
2018-07-04	5	1st	4 8 22 23 32 36
2018-06-16	18	1st	4 10 20 22 27 38
2018-04-14	11	1st	4 10 20 29 33 37
2018-03-07	4	1st	4 12 14 20 26 35
2018-02-21	2	1st	4 5 12 21 24 38
2018-02-14	4	1st	4 6 10 14 23 36
2018-01-31	10	1st	4 13 14 20 24 26
2017-12-27	3	2nd	1 4 10 16 31 33
2017-12-16	2	2nd	3 4 6 15 25 30
2017-12-09	11	1st	4 7 12 18 28 37
2017-11-01	2	1st	4 22 28 30 36 38
2017-10-25	1	1st	4 11 12 14 19 32
2017-10-21	6	1st	4 9 11 29 30 37
2017-09-30	6	2nd	2 4 7 12 23 39
2017-09-09	7	1st	4 6 27 33 34 37
2017-08-16	4	1st	4 9 10 12 26 34
2017-08-02	13	1st	4 18 24 30 32 40
2017-06-17	4	1st	4 7 11 12 32 40
2017-06-03	8	1st	4 16 24 25 31 35
2017-05-06	5	1st	4 10 14 20 22 27
2017-04-19	1	1st	4 6 7 18 26 28
2017-04-15	1	1st	4 14 21 25 26 38
2017-04-12	8	1st	4 5 8 27 37 40
2017-03-15	2	1st	4 16 22 34 35 40
2017-03-08	7	2nd	1 4 6 23 37 39
2017-02-11	1	2nd	3 4 24 27 32 36
2017-02-08	4	1st	4 13 23 25 33 35
2017-01-25	12	1st	4 21 25 26 35 40
2016-12-14	7	2nd	3 4 15 16 18 19
2016-11-19	3	1st	4 10 29 31 34 36
2016-11-09	1	1st	4 8 10 20 29 39
2016-11-05	1	1st	4 25 30 32 34 35
2016-11-02	37	2nd	3 4 9 14 30 38
2016-06-25	2	1st	4 8 9 18 20 26
2016-06-18	7	1st	4 14 21 22 31 39
2016-05-25	5	3rd	1 3 4 8 16 23
2016-05-07	17	1st	4 6 11 22 23 29
2016-03-09	2	2nd	2 4 14 16 17 27
2016-03-02	2	1st	4 18 24 27 34 36
2016-02-24	2	1st	4 5 21 22 29 36
2016-02-17	8	1st	4 5 12 22 24 32
2016-01-20	5	1st	4 14 15 19 20 38
2016-01-02	2	2nd	3 4 5 9 22 31
2015-12-26	6	1st	4 5 11 17 18 38
2015-12-05	8	2nd	2 4 12 13 25 29
2015-11-07	7	2nd	2 4 7 31 32 39
2015-10-14	3	2nd	2 4 13 21 29 33
2015-10-03	—	1st	4 12 17 18 23 36

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Bank a Million · every number