Number 15

In Bank a Million under the 6/40 + 1/40 · since Sep 2015 rules — 1,160 draws, 6 from 1–40.

156times drawn · chance expected 174 −1.48σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 61% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

44longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 156 times in 1,160 draws against 174.0 expected, −1.48σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 23 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 156 times in 1,160 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest16 · chance 14.4
2nd smallest50 · chance 48.0
3rd smallest51 · chance 56.7
4th smallest31 · chance 29.6
5th smallest8 · chance 6.8
6th smallest0 · chance 0.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 40 14 19 21 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-26	1	3rd	12 14 15 21 25 38
2026-09-23	6	2nd	14 15 17 27 36 40
2026-09-02	1	2nd	2 15 19 20 24 40
2026-08-29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-05-31	15	2nd	8 15 18 25 31 38
2025-04-09	1	3rd	11 12 15 29 33 38
2025-04-05	27	3rd	7 10 15 18 20 30
2025-01-01	1	2nd	2 15 22 23 27 39
2024-12-28	8	2nd	5 15 25 27 28 29
2024-11-30	5	3rd	1 8 15 17 22 31
2024-11-13	5	5th	4 5 7 10 15 29
2024-10-26	1	3rd	9 12 15 19 21 37
2024-10-23	2	4th	1 5 10 15 17 26
2024-10-16	9	4th	9 11 14 15 17 35
2024-09-14	2	2nd	8 15 19 24 32 39
2024-09-07	1	2nd	13 15 26 32 38 40
2024-09-04	1	3rd	4 11 15 23 33 37
2024-08-31	25	3rd	2 10 15 21 26 31
2024-06-05	16	3rd	5 14 15 20 21 24
2024-04-10	16	4th	5 9 13 15 21 28
2024-02-14	8	1st	15 19 24 30 34 40
2024-01-17	10	4th	1 11 13 15 36 39
2023-12-13	3	3rd	9 10 15 24 26 38
2023-12-02	1	4th	7 10 14 15 19 36
2023-11-29	6	5th	7 8 9 14 15 24
2023-11-08	7	1st	15 19 26 28 34 38
2023-10-14	12	4th	5 7 11 15 22 34
2023-09-02	5	4th	1 4 6 15 18 25
2023-08-16	15	3rd	3 12 15 17 19 26
2023-06-24	2	2nd	8 15 16 19 25 37
2023-06-17	4	4th	1 11 12 15 23 34
2023-06-03	7	2nd	13 15 31 36 38 39
2023-05-10	1	3rd	1 2 15 18 22 26
2023-05-06	6	4th	7 9 14 15 16 38
2023-04-15	2	3rd	10 13 15 25 30 34
2023-04-08	1	3rd	4 14 15 24 28 35
2023-04-05	6	4th	8 11 14 15 18 33
2023-03-15	4	1st	15 17 20 25 29 36
2023-03-01	15	3rd	5 13 15 32 35 39
2023-01-07	1	4th	3 4 7 15 28 38
2023-01-04	1	2nd	13 15 16 24 26 35
2022-12-31	2	2nd	13 15 23 24 26 27
2022-12-24	12	4th	5 11 13 15 19 25
2022-11-12	44	4th	1 2 7 15 33 40
2022-06-11	4	3rd	13 14 15 16 17 18
2022-05-28	6	2nd	2 15 16 17 20 25
2022-05-07	20	4th	4 5 14 15 22 29
2022-02-26	1	2nd	1 15 21 31 34 39
2022-02-23	1	3rd	12 14 15 21 30 39
2022-02-19	2	3rd	3 12 15 18 36 40
2022-02-12	4	1st	15 21 25 29 33 40
2022-01-29	8	3rd	4 6 15 18 19 32
2022-01-01	17	3rd	4 7 15 19 32 40
2021-11-03	1	3rd	2 4 15 16 21 36
2021-10-30	7	3rd	3 11 15 28 34 37
2021-10-06	25	2nd	6 15 16 20 29 33
2021-07-10	3	4th	1 4 11 15 18 39
2021-06-30	6	3rd	1 11 15 17 23 34
2021-06-09	1	3rd	9 13 15 17 23 38
2021-06-05	1	2nd	13 15 19 28 31 34
2021-06-02	11	2nd	7 15 19 24 33 39
2021-04-24	12	3rd	5 7 15 31 32 38
2021-03-13	4	1st	15 19 20 25 32 37
2021-02-27	5	3rd	9 12 15 25 33 39
2021-02-10	8	4th	1 3 13 15 30 31
2021-01-13	10	3rd	8 13 15 27 28 40
2020-12-09	7	3rd	9 12 15 23 25 35
2020-11-14	5	2nd	10 15 22 29 31 33
2020-10-28	5	4th	3 4 5 15 16 24
2020-10-10	13	1st	15 20 26 33 34 39
2020-08-26	3	2nd	9 15 23 25 31 39
2020-08-15	1	2nd	2 15 22 28 35 40
2020-08-12	7	2nd	3 15 20 26 27 30
2020-07-18	2	2nd	11 15 23 35 39 40
2020-07-11	13	1st	15 21 24 26 31 37
2020-05-27	3	5th	4 6 8 9 15 40
2020-05-16	10	2nd	12 15 20 32 34 38
2020-04-11	1	4th	8 11 13 15 21 33
2020-04-08	20	2nd	2 15 19 22 24 37
2020-01-29	6	3rd	5 13 15 17 26 34
2020-01-08	16	3rd	2 14 15 21 31 38
2019-11-13	3	2nd	2 15 20 29 36 39
2019-11-02	6	4th	2 6 13 15 33 36
2019-10-12	4	2nd	11 15 24 29 30 37
2019-09-28	5	2nd	4 15 18 28 34 39
2019-09-11	1	2nd	13 15 18 22 25 39
2019-09-07	2	2nd	4 15 25 29 36 40
2019-08-31	4	4th	5 8 9 15 38 39
2019-08-17	1	3rd	7 8 15 27 28 38
2019-08-14	11	2nd	13 15 31 32 34 35
2019-07-06	16	2nd	14 15 17 27 28 31
2019-05-11	10	3rd	7 8 15 17 18 32
2019-04-06	2	3rd	6 13 15 21 38 39
2019-03-30	11	3rd	7 14 15 18 20 39
2019-02-20	12	4th	8 12 14 15 21 34
2019-01-09	1	2nd	2 15 28 34 37 40
2019-01-05	14	4th	3 12 13 15 21 34
2018-11-17	22	5th	3 9 12 14 15 29
2018-09-01	11	2nd	6 15 17 27 30 38
2018-07-25	4	3rd	7 9 15 22 26 36
2018-07-11	1	3rd	3 4 15 19 27 29
2018-07-07	2	3rd	1 3 15 32 38 40
2018-06-30	7	3rd	5 13 15 20 30 32
2018-06-06	4	4th	9 11 13 15 18 32
2018-05-23	10	2nd	14 15 22 24 30 40
2018-04-18	8	2nd	5 15 16 19 22 34
2018-03-21	1	2nd	10 15 23 24 36 37
2018-03-17	2	2nd	11 15 16 21 30 37
2018-03-10	8	3rd	9 12 15 19 20 38
2018-02-10	5	5th	1 8 11 14 15 40
2018-01-24	11	1st	15 17 30 32 39 40
2017-12-16	4	4th	3 4 6 15 25 30
2017-12-02	15	4th	1 3 8 15 20 26
2017-10-11	1	3rd	5 14 15 17 31 39
2017-10-07	16	2nd	3 15 21 25 35 37
2017-08-12	39	1st	15 27 29 33 38 40
2017-03-29	9	3rd	7 9 15 27 29 39
2017-02-25	1	1st	15 19 20 23 26 28
2017-02-22	7	1st	15 16 29 35 36 37
2017-01-28	3	3rd	6 10 15 16 37 40
2017-01-18	10	4th	1 9 13 15 24 37
2016-12-14	19	3rd	3 4 15 16 18 19
2016-10-08	5	2nd	11 15 20 22 26 28
2016-09-21	1	1st	15 24 28 29 33 38
2016-09-17	14	2nd	7 15 26 31 33 37
2016-07-30	2	5th	2 9 10 11 15 36
2016-07-23	12	1st	15 21 25 30 33 35
2016-06-11	24	4th	2 8 13 15 20 32
2016-03-19	17	2nd	5 15 23 25 36 37
2016-01-20	3	3rd	4 14 15 19 20 38
2016-01-09	12	2nd	8 15 17 21 38 40
2015-11-28	1	1st	15 16 22 33 39 40
2015-11-25	1	3rd	6 14 15 17 18 19
2015-11-21	10	1st	15 16 23 26 29 32
2015-10-17	8	2nd	7 15 16 18 24 31
2015-09-19	—	4th	1 5 12 15 17 34