Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Texas Two Step · every number · star deck
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 111 draws, 1 from 1–35.
Drawn 2 times in 111 draws against 3.2 expected, −0.67σ. Each draw is independent: after 85 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 2 times in 111 draws · average wait 17.0 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 85 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Too few completed waits to plot a distribution for this number alone.
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 34 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 34 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | 17 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-10-23 | — | 1st | 15 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 1/35 tonight whatever it did last week.