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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Texas Two Step · every number · star deck
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 111 draws, 1 from 1–35.
Drawn 5 times in 111 draws against 3.2 expected, +1.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 5 times in 111 draws · average wait 19.5 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 18 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 34 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 34 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 39 | 1st | 10 |
| 2026-03-30 | 13 | 1st | 10 |
| 2026-02-12 | 23 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-11-24 | 3 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-11-13 | — | 1st | 10 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 1/35 tonight whatever it did last week.