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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Revancha · every number · star deck
In Revancha under the 5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 2025 rules — 208 draws, 1 from 1–10.
Drawn 17 times in 208 draws against 20.8 expected, −0.88σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 17 times in 208 draws · average wait 12.6 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 31 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-07-22 | 1 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-07-20 | 4 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-07-06 | 16 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-05-29 | 12 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-05-01 | 9 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-04-10 | 10 | 1st | 9 |
| 2026-03-16 | 20 | 1st | 9 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-01-28 | 30 | 1st | 9 |
| 2025-11-19 | 4 | 1st | 9 |
| 2025-11-10 | 17 | 1st | 9 |
| 2025-10-01 | 3 | 1st | 9 |
| 2025-09-24 | 9 | 1st | 9 |
| 2025-09-03 | 3 | 1st | 9 |
| 2025-08-27 | 31 | 1st | 9 |
| 2025-06-13 | — | 1st | 9 |