In Revancha under the 5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 2025 rules — 208 draws, 1 from 1–10.
17times drawn · chance expected 21 −0.88σ
21draws waiting · a wait this long: 12% for any number
11.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
46longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long
2 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 17 times in 208 draws against 20.8 expected, −0.88σ. Each draw is independent: after 21 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
2
Number 2, draw by draw
Drawn 17 times in 208 draws · average wait 11.4 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 21 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.